ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

Articles by Kalluru Siva ReddySubscribe to Kalluru Siva Reddy

COVID-19 Forecasting and Investigating the Impact of the Lockdown in India

The paper attempts to forecast the growth pattern of the COVID-19 spread in India and examines the impact of the lockdown on its spread and deaths. Comparing different models for short-term forecasts—hybrid autoregressive integrated moving average with errorremodelling using fast Fourier transform—has been found to have better accuracy. It is observed that the data set starting from the first phase of the lockdown generates more accurate estimates. The impact analysis shows a clear trend break on 3 March for confirmed cases and 11 March for the deaths.

Non-interest Income and Stability of Commercial Banks

The impact of the share of non-interest income on the risk of banks in India for the period 1993–2018 is examined, employing coefficients of variation, and linear and quantile regression techniques. The higher share of non-interest income leads to diversification benefits and reduces the risk of banks. The share of non-interest income has fallen and more banks have become unstable in the last decade. For the nationalised and foreign banks, the increase in the proportion of non-interest income has led to greater stability. However, for some of the private banks, this relation is not linear.

 

Back to Top