ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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Finance Commission's Recommendations and Restructured Fiscal Space

Since it is neither feasible nor desirable to reduce central grants to the states equivalent to the increase in tax devolution, the award of the Fourteenth Finance Commission is certainly not revenue neutral for the union government. But the larger question is not of arithmetic but of a shift in policy towards greater fiscal autonomy to the states by ensuring more than 70% of the fund flow through the Finance Commission route and also preserving the fiscal space for the union for its own functions. It is about getting expenditure priorities right at each level of government.

Fiscal Consolidation, Macro Fundamentals and Growthin Budget 2013-14

Due to the tight monetary policy stance adopted by the Reserve Bank of India for a sustained period of time to control infl ation, the burden of correcting macroeconomic imbalances and reviving growth seems to have fallen entirely on the Union Budget and fi scal policy. The fi scal consolidation proposed in the Union Budget for 2013-14 is a combination of a marginal reduction in aggregate non-Plan expenditure and buoyant revenue growth. If revenue targets are not met, fi scal consolidation can go off the track as the scope for expenditure contraction is limited.

The Quality of Governance

There is a core concept of good governance, the combination of authority and responsibility to pursue the common good, that has remained stable over millennia. Building on this concept the paper develops several indices of the quality of governance and applies these indices to rank major states in India. The governance indices have been derived from the three main pillars of the government, i e, the legislature, the judiciary and the executive. Performance on each dimension of governance has been measured using indicators that are all based exclusively on factual data, not perceptions. The paper shows that there is a strong correlation between governance quality and the level of development in a state. When we correct for the effect of development on the quality of governance, it turns out that some of the poorer states significantly improve their rank, implying their governance performance is much better than would be expected at their level of development.

Debating the Thirteenth Finance Commission

Two comments and two responses on two of the papers published in the special issue of the recommendations of the Thirteenth Finance Commission (27 November 2010). (This discussion could be read alongside that published on 26 March 2011.)

Report of the 13th Finance Commission: Introduction and Overview

This special issue on the Report of the Thirteenth Finance Commission has eight experts evaluating its recommendations from different perspectives. While acknowledging the many plus points of the report, the writers also draw attention to its numerous drawbacks, ranging from a lack of proper attention and omissions to faulty logic. There is little doubt that some of the recommendations, if implemented in the right spirit, will benefit the management of public finances in the country. However, an awareness of the report's limitations could serve as an antidote to not slipping up again.

Deficit Fundamentalism vs Fiscal Federalism: Implications of 13th Finance Commission's Recommendations

The Thirteenth Finance Commission's recommendation to increase the vertical share of tax devolution to states will help, but its horizontal distribution formula leaves much to be desired. One, its design is such that two of the four key indicators are in conflict with each other. Two, the commission's revised road map for fiscal consolidation at the centre and the states, which recommends state-specific, year-wise, fiscal adjustment paths, not only limits the fiscal manoeuvrability of states but also impinges on their fiscal autonomy. Three, its design of the grant for elementary education has the potential to reduce the expenditure of states rather than augment it. The need to look at intergovernmental transfers from the right perspective of federalism, where the states and the centre are seen as equal partners in development and not from a narrow technocratic viewpoint, cannot be stressed more.

Goods and Services Tax in India:An Assessment of the Base

One of the most contentious issues in the discussions surrounding goods and services tax is the likely and feasible rates at which the new regime can be implemented. There have been a number of attempts at estimating the size of the tax base and the corresponding revenue neutral rate. The latest in the series is the report of the Task Force on gst of the Thirteenth Finance Commission. Most of these exercises throw up incredibly low revenue neutral rates resulting in apprehensions about the validity of these estimates and the consequent revenue risk. This paper seeks to estimate the base for the proposed gst on conservative assumptions to arrive at a more realistic estimate of the revenue neutral rates across states.

Intra-Regional Inequality and the Role of Public Policy: Lessons Learnt from Kerala

Despite an accentuation of consumption inequality in recent years in Kerala, development in the social sector has been more or less equitable across districts. Kerala's achievements in human development have been primarily due to the active intervention of the government in the social sector. The high priority to social sector spending has posed serious challenges to the state in terms of upkeep and also in tackling second generation problems of its model of development. It has also contributed to a large fiscal imbalance. Decentralisation is a step that was introduced in the mid-1990s to sustain the path of Kerala's development through local-level planning incorporating local needs and preferences.

Macro Policy Reform and Sub-National Finance: Why Is the Fiscal Space of the States Shrinking?

In the post-economic liberalisation era, financial sector and fiscal reforms by the central government have adversely affected sub-national finances. The centre's fiscal consolidation measures have contributed to the sharp decline in vertical transfers and the financial liberalisation-induced increase in interest rates has widened the resource gap of the states through an increase in the interest outgo on the stock of debt. This paper examines the effect of the fiscal imbalance on the sub-national fiscal space. Econometric estimates reveal that though the effect of the cost of debt on total expenditure is expansionary, it is negative with respect to the fiscal space. As the sub-national fiscal space has been shrinking, corrective measures are required to increase the states' ability to fulfil developmental fiscal needs.

Intergovernmental Transfers: Disquieting Trends and the Thirteenth Finance Commission

The way in which the terms of reference of successive finance commissions have been framed, including that of the Thirteenth Finance Commission, has diluted the basic constitutional rationale of having such a statutory commission. Various deficiencies in the transfer system require correction not through a heavy reliance on tied and conditional grants (as we have seen in recent years), but with an alternative approach which accommodates and protects the objectives of equity, efficiency and autonomy of the recipient state governments.

Implementation of Employment Guarantee: A Preliminary Appraisal

The National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme has so far posed no problem for the budget. Its allocation is only marginally higher than what was spent in the past by the government on various rural employment programmes. It is a demand-driven scheme and it has fallen far short of meeting demand in some states. The fund utilisation ratio also varies widely across states.

Rural Poverty in Madhya Pradesh

This study examines the incidence of rural poverty in Madhya Pradesh based on a field survey of 2,208 rural households spread over 11 districts. The issues of poverty are examined in a multidimensional perspective with emphasis given to issues related to access to publically provided services like health and education. There is a need for greater and more effective fiscal intervention for poverty reduction and employment generation. The implementation of the National Rural Employment Guarantee Act may prove to be an effective intervention in reducing poverty in rural areas of the state.

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