ISSN (Print) - 0012-9976 | ISSN (Online) - 2349-8846

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Double-Digit Inclusive Growth

Not without Robust Agricultural Growth

India aspires for a double-digit growth rate. For that, agriculture will have to grow at least 4% annually to support gross domestic product growth rates in excess of 8% if we are to constrain imports at slightly higher levels than at present. Such agricultural growth can be attained with a total factor productivity growth rate of 2%, along with developing the net irrigated area to 90 million hectares. But in the past two decades, agricultural growth has been less than 3% and productivity growth has been lower than 2%. Surface irrigation has not grown and groundwater is being overexploited in many parts of the country. Achieving the required agricultural growth for double-digit growth of the economy is a signifi cant challenge.

We are grateful for the generous support of the Centennial Group, Washington DC, and the Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture to our research for this paper.

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